Why you should not lose sleep over market volatility
When markets are volatile it is natural to feel anxious. Your sense of apprehension can be fueled by dramatic-sounding news headlines and dated TV file footage of traders with their heads in the hands.
We’d all love for the market to go on a winning streak forever. Reaching record highs and blowing minds; but the truth is, downturns are a reality, particularly if you are a long-term investor.
The fact that downturns can be inescapable, can be scary. And off-putting to be quite honest. Add to this that we have no idea when the next downturn is coming or how long it will last. In fact, for individual investors, there can be a natural tendency to want to “do something” in response to volatility. It’s built into our human mentality, a 'fight or flight' acute response to the perceived threat. The reality is, acting on those emotions can end up doing you more harm than good. Because if history has taught us anything, it’s that staying the course may be the best way to make it through a downturn.
It’s important for investors to have financial adviser on their team to consider the investment strategy and have factored in the expectation of future markets falls. This is done via a three-step asset allocation process.
Step 1 – Risk Tolerance
Your risk tolerance is how comfortable you are watching market volatility potentially affect your money in your account. With market upswings, you could see your account grow in size, but, as with market downturns, you could also watch your money in your account shrink too.
Step 2 – Risk Capacity
Your risk capacity ensures you are well placed to deal with inevitable stock market volatility.
Financial advisors design investment portfolios that are diversified and not just invested in stocks (equities). Diversification helps lower a portfolio’s overall risk, so investors will take on even less risk than the equity-only scenarios.
Typically, the composition of investment portfolios ranges anywhere from a low equity allocation for shorter-term goals like a home goal, with say a six-year time horizon, to a high — up to 99 per cent — for a longer-term goal like retirement.
That’s because the increased risk associated with equities may give you the opportunity for increased returns over your goal timeline. The thinking is that with a longer timeline, you may have more time to recover in the event of a downturn, so you can likely afford a greater level of risk.
Step 3 – Risk Required
The last step is based upon how much annual return you require from your portfolio to meet your goals. This figure changes over time and needs to be monitored. For example, you may start with requiring an annual return of 8.0% pa, but after some years of superior performance, this figure may fall to 6.0% pa. At this point, you have a decision to make – do you alter your goals and spend a little more? Or do you take less risk to increase the likelihood your goals will be achieved. It is the role of a good financial adviser to ensure that you are on the right track to make informed decisions.
Downturns aren’t pretty, they are hard to forecast and it’s likely you will encounter some over your investing life. But remember, downturns come with an expiration date it’s just uncertain when this will be. So don’t sweat the downturns.
Having a fee only independent financial advisor can ensure that you are on the right track to meet your financial goals. They put together a well thought out investment strategy, so you are ready, prepared for the next stock or bond market fall, additionally, the one after that.
· Nick Stewart is a Financial Adviser and CEO at Stewart Group, a Hawke's Bay-based CEFEX certified financial planning and advisory firm. Stewart Group provides personal fiduciary services, Wealth Management, Risk Insurance & KiwiSaver solutions.
· The information provided, or any opinions expressed in this article, are of a general nature only and should not be construed or relied on as a recommendation to invest in a financial product or class of financial products. You should seek financial advice specific to your circumstances from an Authorised Financial Adviser before making any financial decisions. A disclosure statement can be obtained free of charge by calling 0800 878 961 or visit our website, www.stewartgroup.co.nz